#warroomba

Tue Oct 11 07:57:05 2022 (*9cb05920*):: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12591/nuclear-detonation-in-ukraine-by-2023/ *** Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? *** The aggregate of 412 Metaculus community forecasters was 7% on Oct 11, 2022. *** metaculus.com
(*9cb05920*):: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Dod9AWz8Rp4Svdpof/why-i-think-there-s-a-one-in-six-chance-of-an-imminent +public! *** Why I think there’s a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war – LessWrong *** A community blog devoted to refining the art of rationality *** lesswrong.com